Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 6.352840 6.953904 7.602369 8.356618 9.213110 10.159355 11.289175
2026-02-08 5.434883 6.219748 7.118641 8.233314 9.591043 11.207573 13.302875
2026-02-15 4.846025 5.710870 6.741665 8.077240 9.786424 11.934973 14.897095
2026-02-22 4.460138 5.380851 6.514150 8.036547 10.067410 12.742436 16.637214
2026-03-01 4.064314 4.992721 6.164418 7.783859 10.017316 13.073756 17.731866
2026-03-08 3.693014 4.602193 5.772779 7.428390 9.774950 13.090055 18.342446
2026-03-15 3.458181 4.370212 5.567666 7.300341 9.824262 13.507256 19.582014
2026-03-22 3.492635 4.495500 5.846682 7.862354 10.909623 15.559633 23.677782
2026-03-29 3.393295 4.428820 5.851781 8.025153 11.407948 16.757582 26.541367
2026-04-05 3.203136 4.222982 5.644653 7.853995 11.368054 17.076888 27.897077
2026-04-12 3.109679 4.147652 5.618815 7.951766 11.758435 18.144839 30.786837
2026-04-19 2.958933 3.981189 5.448347 7.811028 11.742671 18.506090 32.363635
2026-04-26 2.825924 3.838110 5.310614 7.721950 11.822042 19.074369 34.523464
2026-05-03 2.697200 3.695113 5.165134 7.610249 11.852952 19.559027 36.605341
2026-05-10 2.572157 3.551124 5.009489 7.469582 11.817744 19.910223 38.453685
2026-05-17 2.481262 3.454062 4.920782 7.432885 11.963172 20.624299 41.271357
2026-05-24 2.353778 3.295359 4.726898 7.204876 11.737201 20.569082 42.231838
2026-05-31 2.214203 3.112651 4.486813 6.883714 11.312853 20.064646 41.987287
2026-06-07 2.127774 3.009121 4.369017 6.767903 11.268489 20.348339 43.827657
2026-06-14 2.175530 3.117017 4.597860 7.275730 12.472429 23.461377 54.048405
2026-06-21 2.147673 3.103240 4.625151 7.422609 12.975045 25.096602 60.614009
2026-06-28 2.064452 2.997132 4.493052 7.268186 12.847298 25.252366 62.709859
2026-07-05 2.030381 2.969261 4.491563 7.356410 13.232619 26.682992 69.313053